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Saturday, July 12, 2025

Morning Transient: July 11 – Forecasts – 11 July 2025


Bitcoin has up to date its historic most. In the mean time, the worth of the cryptocurrency reached $ 118,661 thousand. The alternate charge elevated by nearly $5,000 per evening.

For the primary time in historical past, photo voltaic panels turned the primary supply of vitality within the European Union in June. The share of photo voltaic vitality within the area’s vitality combine rose to 22.1% final month, or 45.4 TWh. Nuclear energy crops and wind generators accounted for 22% and 16%, respectively. The rationale for the document is the rise in capability and excessive photo voltaic exercise. In opposition to this background, electrical energy costs in France fell under 0 attributable to a pointy enhance within the surplus within the grid.

OPEC has lowered its forecasts for international oil demand for the following 4 years. The group additionally raised its long-term expectations, given the rising consumption in creating international locations. In 2025, international oil demand is 105 million barrels per day. In keeping with OPEC’s forecast, by 2026 this determine will enhance to 106.3 million barrels per day, and by 2029 it is going to attain 111.6 million.

The BRICS summit in Rio de Janeiro prompted Trump to impose 50% tariffs on Brazil. The principle set off for the US president is the efforts of the BRICS international locations to de-dollarize. Brazilian President Lula responded by saying that Brazil can do with out commerce with america and can search for different companions to interchange it. If no settlement may be reached, Brazil will impose reciprocal commerce duties on U.S. merchandise from August 1.

The USA is imposing 35% duties on Canadian imports from August 1, citing retaliatory tariffs from Ottawa. Donald Trump mentioned that the explanation was the actions of Canada and the issue with fentanyl. The President famous that adjustments are doable with cooperation within the battle in opposition to the substance. He additionally warned that additional will increase in Canadian tariffs would result in a rise in U.S. duties. 

The volatility of the US greenback has decreased, however analysts consider that it could develop into a «dangerous» forex once more. The explanations embrace political instability, commerce tariffs, Fed independence, fiscal considerations, and asset diversification. The autumn within the alternate charge attributable to Trump’s threats triggered rumors concerning the lack of the standing of a protected haven asset. Within the quick time period, the greenback stays unstable. 

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