The previous week didn’t result in the formation of recent sustainable traits. In the US, the publication of the preliminary GDP estimate for This autumn confirmed continued optimistic dynamics with out indicators of overheating, whereas statistics on private earnings and spending indicated reasonable shopper behaviour. This saved yields inside a variety and didn’t enable the greenback to type a robust directional impulse. In Europe, ZEW financial sentiment information have been restrained, and the absence of recent alerts from the ECB saved EUR/USD in a consolidation part.
💶 EUR/USD
The EUR/USD pair completed the week at 1.1780, failing to consolidate above 1.1925-1.1930 whereas on the similar time holding help at 1.1765-1.1775. In case of one other try to interrupt 1.1925, the goal can be 1.2000 and далее 1.2080. If strain on the euro will increase and help at 1.1765 doesn’t maintain, the subsequent draw back goal would be the 1.1700 space, adopted by the 1.1580-1.1620 and 1.1470-1.1500 zones. Within the coming week, the pair’s dynamics will largely rely on the publication of US shopper confidence indices and inflation indicators in Germany. The absence of sturdy surprises might protect the range-bound nature of buying and selling.
🟠 Bitcoin (BTC/USD)
BTC/USD continues to maneuver inside the 65,100-72,260 channel. On Saturday, February 21, it’s buying and selling within the 68,000 space. Makes an attempt to maneuver above 72,260 haven’t but developed, indicating an absence of elementary drivers and warning amongst market members. In case of a breakout above 75,500-80,000, the subsequent goal for bulls will stay a return to the 85,000-90,000 hall. If strain persists and the worth falls beneath 65,100, the dangers of testing 63,000 and далее 59,800 will enhance. Extra distant bearish targets at 54,000 and 49,000 stay within the medium time period. In the course of the present week, the cryptocurrency market can be delicate to shifts within the world risk-on or risk-off atmosphere, in addition to to US yield dynamics.
🛢 Brent Oil
Brent continues to commerce close to the higher boundary of the long-term descending channel that started forming in October 2023. Final week the worth managed to rise above resistance at 70.45 {dollars} per barrel and end at 71.18. Nevertheless, it’s nonetheless untimely to think about this a assured breakout past the descending channel. Within the coming days, a check of the 72.70 space with a goal at 73.00 can’t be excluded, and if momentum strengthens – a transfer in the direction of 76.30 and 77.75. Beneath a bearish information background, helps stay at 66.30, 65.00 and 62.70. Dynamics will rely on the state of affairs between the US and Iran and on assessments of world demand prospects.
🥇 Gold (XAU/USD)
Within the earlier forecast, we warned a couple of attainable correction in the direction of the road of medium-term ascending help. That is precisely what occurred within the first half of the week, adopted by a rebound and a detailed at 5,105 {dollars} per ounce. Makes an attempt to consolidate above the 5,090-5,120 zone haven’t but produced a sustainable consequence; nevertheless, the targets at 5,180 and 5,450 stay related. If demand for safe-haven belongings persists, makes an attempt to обновить the historic excessive at 5,595 can’t be excluded. On the similar time, the danger of correction stays. The closest help is positioned at 4,950, adopted by the 4,840-4,875 zone. A breakout beneath it is going to open the best way to a deeper correction in the direction of 4,550-4,640.
📈 Key Occasions and Baseline Situations of the Week
In the course of the week of February 23–27, market consideration can be targeted on the US shopper confidence index (CB Client Confidence), the publication of inflation information in Germany (CPI), and the US Producer Value Index (PPI). In Japan, inflation information (CPI) can be launched, which can have an effect on yen pairs. Total, the elemental background stays reasonable, and the absence of rate of interest selections by main central banks reduces the chance of sharp development reversals.
Baseline situations: EUR/USD – reasonably bullish whereas the worth holds above 1.1765. BTC/USD – neutral-to-bearish whereas the worth stays beneath 75,500-80,000. Brent – bearish whereas quotations are beneath 72.70-73.00. XAU/USD – bullish whereas costs maintain above 4,840-4,875.
