A retired US Military fight medic has predicted that XRP will overtake Bitcoin because the world’s most dear cryptocurrency — a declare that might require XRP’s worth to climb from $1.41 to almost $24.
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A Lengthy Street To The High
Patrick L. Riley, who now operates as a market commentator on social media, posted the forecast on X with out providing supporting knowledge or a particular timeline.
It was not his first time making the declare. Final month, Riley stated XRP would turn out to be the top-ranked crypto inside six years, no matter whether or not Bitcoin breaks the $150,000 worth stage this yr.
He added that if Bitcoin fails to achieve that threshold and reclaim its 12-year pattern line, it may collapse to as little as $1,000.
Based mostly on present market knowledge, XRP sits fourth by whole market worth at near $87 billion. Bitcoin leads at $1.45 trillion. Ethereum ranks second at $254 billion. BNB holds third place at $89.3 billion, simply forward of XRP.
I’m going to make two very not daring predictions.
1: This won’t be a 4-5 week lengthy battle.
2: XRP will cross Bitcoin.
— Patrick L Riley (@Acquired_Savant) March 4, 2026
Earlier than XRP may even problem Bitcoin, it might first have to cross BNB — a spot of roughly 3.5% — after which Ethereum, which might require a worth enhance of about 190%, pushing XRP previous $4.15. Surpassing Bitcoin would demand an extra surge to $23.70.
XRP final overtook Ethereum in December 2019. Since then, the token has bounced between third and fourth place, usually buying and selling blows with BNB for place.
Different Voices, Comparable Claims
Riley just isn’t alone in making this sort of forecast. In August 2025, a finance commentator referred to as Coach JV stated XRP would declare the high spot by 2030, with Bitcoin falling to second.
In March 2025, Jacob King, CEO of SwanDesk, made an identical argument after the US authorities confirmed it had added XRP to its nationwide crypto stockpile.
King stated the US had successfully sidelined Bitcoin by selecting XRP for its strategic reserve, and that XRP’s market cap would surpass Bitcoin’s with certainty. No timeline was given.
Riley Additionally Weighs In On The Israel-Iran Warfare
Past crypto, Riley’s submit touched on the navy battle between Israel and Iran that broke out on February 28. The US and Israel launched coordinated strikes in opposition to Iranian management, nuclear infrastructure, and proxy forces.
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Reviews point out Supreme Chief Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed on the primary day of the marketing campaign, together with different senior officers. Iran responded with greater than 200 missiles and drones focusing on Israeli territory and US navy positions within the Gulf area.
On the outset, US President Donald Trump stated the operation may run for about 4 to 5 weeks, with the likelihood it may stretch longer.
Riley later rejected that estimate in a submit, although he didn’t clarify what led him to assume the battle would wrap up sooner.
Featured picture from Vecteezy, chart from TradingView