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Monday, October 13, 2025

Is Whitecap Sources a Purchase?


canadian energy oil

Picture supply: Getty Photographs

Whitecap Sources (TSX:WCP) produces and markets oil and pure gasoline in Western Canada. It had reported a powerful second-quarter efficiency final month, beating the administration’s manufacturing steerage and strengthening its monetary place. Amid its wholesome second-quarter efficiency, the corporate’s administration has introduced that its 2025 manufacturing steerage shall be nearer to the upper finish of the steerage it beforehand offered.

 

In the meantime, its stable second-quarter efficiency and elevating of steerage have elevated traders’ optimism, thereby driving its inventory value. Since reporting its second-quarter earnings, the corporate’s inventory value has risen by 2.7%. Moreover, it trades at a reduction of over 9% in comparison with its 52-week excessive. Subsequently, let’s look at its second-quarter efficiency and development prospects intimately to find out if there’s a potential shopping for alternative within the inventory.

WCP’s second-quarter efficiency

WCP accomplished the strategic mixture with Veren in the course of the quarter, thereby turning into Canada’s seventh-largest oil and pure gasoline producer. In the meantime, its common manufacturing for the quarter stood at 292,754 BOE/d (barrels of oil equal per day), beating its inner steerage amid stable performances throughout each its unconventional and traditional portfolios. In the meantime, its manufacturing per share grew 5% 12 months over 12 months, pushed by stable execution, the addition of latest manufacturing amenities, and downtime optimization.

Moreover, the oil and pure gasoline producer generated fund flows of $713 million in the course of the quarter, representing a 6% year-over-year enhance. Of those money flows, it made capital investments of $409 million whereas producing free money flows of $304 million. Amid its wholesome money flows, the corporate has returned round $298 million to its shareholders within the first two quarters via dividends and share repurchases. It at the moment pays a month-to-month dividend payout of $0.0608/share, translating into a pretty ahead dividend yield of seven.11%.

Moreover, WCP strengthened its stability sheet by disposing of non-core property price $270 million. The strategic mixture has additionally lowered its leverage, whereas offering ample liquidity. On the finish of the second quarter, the corporate had $3.3 billion in internet debt, with unutilized debt capability of $1.6 billion that might present WCP with monetary flexibility to navigate this unsure surroundings.

WCP’s development prospects

The strategic mixture with Veren would improve WCP’s scale and premium stock, strengthen its monetary place, and drive its monetary efficiency. The corporate has made substantial progress in integrating its acquired property and personnel, thereby capturing early synergies via lowered company bills and an improved credit score profile. Moreover, the corporate’s administration is optimistic about driving further capital effectivity and lowering its working prices over the subsequent six to 12 months by sharing learnings and experience throughout the mixed asset portfolio.

Together with these initiatives, WCP plans to make capital investments of $1.2 billion within the second half of this 12 months, which may improve its manufacturing capabilities. In the meantime, the corporate’s administration initiatives its common manufacturing for the second half of this 12 months to be between 363,000 BOE/d and 368,000 BOE/d, marking a considerable enchancment from the primary half. Moreover, the administration expects 3-5% natural development in the long run. Contemplating these development initiatives, I anticipate WCP to drive its financials within the coming quarters.

Buyers’ takeaway

WCP has underperformed the S&P/TSX Composite Index this 12 months, with returns of 5.3%. Moreover, its valuation seems cheap, with its next-12-month) price-to-sales and price-to-book multiples at 2.1 and 1.1, respectively. Contemplating its wholesome development prospects, strengthening of economic place, enhancing working effectivity amid the strategic mixture with Veren, excessive dividend yield, and enticing valuation, I consider WCP can be a pretty purchase at these ranges.

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